Page 442 - ES 2020-21_Volume-1-2 [28-01-21]
P. 442

Fiscal Developments   69


                                        (4.1)    (3.9)     (3.5)    (3.5)     (3.4)    (4.6)     (3.5)
              Revenue Deficit           3.66     3.43      3.16     4.44      4.54     6.68      6.09

                                        (2.9)    (2.5)     (2.1)    (2.6)     (2.4)    (3.3)     (2.7)
              Primary Deficit           1.08     0.91      0.55     0.62      0.67     3.25      0.88
                                        (0.9)    (0.7)     (0.4)    (0.4)     (0.4)    (1.6)     (0.4)
              Memo Item

              GDP at Market Price      124.68   137.72    153.62   170.95    189.71   203.40    224.89
             Source: Union Budget Documents & CGA
             BE: Budget Estimate, PA: Provisional Actuals
             *includes disinvestment proceeds
                       Table 6: Growth rate of Central Government's Fiscal Indicators ( in percent)

                       ITEMS             2015-16    2016-17    2017-18   2018-19    2019-20    2020-21
                                                                                      PA*       BE^
              Revenue Receipts             8.5       15.0        4.4        8.2       8.3        20.1
              Gross Tax Revenue            16.9      17.9       11.8        8.4       -3.4       20.6
              Net tax revenue              4.4       16.7       12.8        6.0       2.9        20.7
              Non-tax revenue              27.0       8.6       -29.4      22.3       38.4       18.0

              Non-debt capital receipts    22.3       3.8       77.0       -2.5       -39.2     227.8
              Total Non Debt Receipt       9.1       14.4        7.7        7.4       5.1        28.3
               Total Expenditure           7.6       10.3        8.4        8.1       16.0       13.2
               Revenue Expenditure         4.8        9.9       11.1        6.8       17.0       11.9

              Capital Expenditure          28.6      12.5       -7.5       16.9       9.4        22.4
             Source: Union Budget Documents & CGA
             BE: Budget Estimate, PA: Provisional Actuals
             * Rate of growth vis-à-vis 2018-19 Actual
             ^ Rate of growth vis-à-vis 2019-20 PA
             #includes disinvestment proceeds
             Trends in Receipts

             2.26  Central government receipts can broadly be divided into Non-debt and debt receipts.
             The Non-debt receipts comprise of tax and Non-Tax revenue, and Non-debt Capital receipts
             like recovery of loans and disinvestment receipts. Debt receipts mostly comprise of market
             borrowings and other liabilities, which the government is obliged to repay in the future.

             Tax Revenue

             2.27  Budget 2020-21 estimated the Gross Tax Revenue (GTR) to be ` 24.23 lakh crore which
             is 10.8 per cent of GDP. This builds into growth of 12 per cent over the revised estimates (RE)
             of 2019-20 and 20.6 per cent over 2019-20 PA. The direct taxes, comprising mainly of corporate
             and personal income tax, constitute around 55 per cent of GTR. These were envisaged to grow
             at 12.7 per cent relative to 2019-20 RE and 27.2 per cent relative to 2019-20 PA. On the other
             hand, the indirect taxes were expected to grow at 11.1 per cent vis-à-vis 2019-20 RE and 15 per
             cent as against 2019-20 PA. The contribution of different taxes in GTR as envisaged in 2020-21
             BE is shown in Figure 10.
   437   438   439   440   441   442   443   444   445   446   447