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186     Economic Survey 2021-22



                            Figure 4C: International inflation in Crude oil and WPI inflation
                                   in crude petroleum (January 2018-December 2021)

                         250
                       (per cent)  200               Correlation: 0.98



                       WPI inflation in crude petroleum (yoy)  100
                         150




                          50


                          0

                         -50


                        -100
                           -100      -50       0        50       100      150       200      250
                                               YoY growth in Crude Indian basket (per cent)

                     Source: PPAC and OEA, DPIIT
               India also imports substantial share its consumption of edible oils. Any change in international
               prices of palm oil gets transmitted into domestic prices as their correlation is around 0.9.
               (Figure 4D).

                             Figure 4D: WPI inflation and international inflation in Palm oil
                                           (January 2018 – December 2021)

                          70.0

                          60.0                       Correlation: 0.9
                         (per cent)  50.0

                          40.0
                         WPI inflation in palm oil (yoy)  30.0



                          20.0

                          10.0

                           0.0

                          -10.0

                          -20.0
                             -40.0    -20.0    0.0     20.0     40.0     60.0     80.0    100.0
                                              YoY growth in international Palm oil price (per cent)

                     Source: World Bank and OEA, DPIIT
   207   208   209   210   211   212   213   214   215   216   217