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JAY Ho: Ayushman Bharat's Jan                                                 09

             Arogya Yojana (JAY) and Health


             Outcomes                                                                      CHAPTER









                      Of all the forms of inequality, injustice in healthcare is the most shocking and
                                                                                      most inhuman.

                                                                           —Martin Luther King Jr.

                This chapter demonstrates strong positive effects on healthcare outcomes of the Pradhan
                Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY) – the ambitious program launched by Government
                of India in 2018 to provide healthcare access to the most vulnerable sections. PM-JAY is
                being used significantly for high frequency, low cost care such as dialysis and continued
                to  be  utilised  without  disruption  even  during  the  Covid  pandemic  and  the  lockdown.
                General medicine – the overwhelmingly major clinical specialty accounting for over half
                the claims - exhibited a V-shaped recovery after falling during the lockdown and reached
                pre-COVID-19 levels in December 2020. The final – but the most crucial – analysis in the
                chapter attempts to estimate the impact of PM-JAY on health utcomes by undertaking a
                difference-in-difference analysis. As PM-JAY was implemented in 2018, health indicators
                measured by National Family Health Surveys 4 (in 2015-16) and 5 (in 2019-20) provide
                before-after data to assess this impact. To mitigate the impact of various confounding
                factors, we compute a difference-in-difference by comparing states that implemented PM-
                JAY versus those that did not. We undertake this analysis in two parts. First, we use
                West Bengal as the state that did not implement PM-JAY and compare its neighbouring
                states that implemented PM-JAY – Bihar, Sikkim and Assam. Second, we repeat the same
                analysis for all states that did not implement PM-JAY vis-à-vis all states that did.

                PM-JAY enhanced health insurance coverage. Across all the states, the proportion of
                households with health insurance increased by 54 per cent for the states that implemented
                PM-JAY while falling by 10 per cent in states that did not. Similarly, the proportion of
                households that had health insurance increased in Bihar, Assam and Sikkim from 2015-16
                to 2019-20 by 89 per cent while it decreased by 12 per cent over the same period in West
                Bengal. From 2015-16 to 2019-20, infant mortality rates declined by 12 per cent for states
                that did not adopt PM-JAY and by 20 per cent for the states that adopted it. Similarly,
                while states that did not adopt PM-JAY saw a fall of 14 per cent in its Under-5 mortality
                rate, the states that adopted it witnessed a 19 per cent reduction. While states that did not
                adopt PM-JAY witness 15 per cent decline in unmet need for spacing between consecutive
                kids, the states that adopted it recorded a 31 per cent fall. Various metrics for mother and
                child care improved more in the states that adopted PM-JAY as compared to those who
                did not. Each of these health effects manifested similarly when we compare Bihar, Assam
                and Sikkim that implemented PM-JAY versus West Bengal that did not. While some of
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