Page 453 - ES 2020-21_Volume-1-2 [28-01-21]
P. 453

80      Economic Survey 2020-21   Volume 2



                      strengthen the States to deal with the pandemic, the Centre had released the 1st instalment
                      of SDRF amounting to ` 11,092 crore to State Governments in April 2020. In September
                      2020, the states’ limit for spending the SDRF during FY 2020-21 was raised to 50%, in order
                      to support them in containment measures of COVID-19 including measures for quarantine,
                      sample collection and screening; and procurement of essential equipment/ labs for response
                      to COVID-19.
               Source: PIB


             General Government Finances

             2.49  The General Government finances give an overview of fiscal position of the Government
             sector as a whole. Figure 13 shows  the  trends  in  General  Government  debt  and  deficits
             over the past few years. The General Government liabilities as a proportion of GDP exhibit
             an increasing trend over the last few years. In 2020-21 BE, the General Government had
             budgeted for a reduction in deficit in over 2019-20 RE. However in the wake of the global
             pandemic outbreak, the General Government (Centre plus States) is expected to register a
             fiscal slippage on account of the shortfall in revenue and higher expenditure requirements. As
             indicated by the enhanced borrowing provisions for both the Centre and the States for 2020-
             21, the liabilities of the General Government are expected to increase. This deviation from
             the path of fiscal consolidation may however be transient as the fiscal indicators may rebound
             with the recovery in the economy. The medium and long term trajectory of Government debt
             will  depend  on  the  debt  sustainability  calculations. A  more  negative  interest-rate  growth
             differential lays the foundation for lower General Government debt as a proportion of GDP
             (Table 13). Detailed discussion on the dynamics of debt sustainability may be seen in Chapter
             2 of Volume 1.

                                  Table 13: Trends in Interest rate-growth differential
                                        and General Government Debt-to-GDP

                 Year     Nominal Interest   Nominal Growth      Interest rate-growth      General
                              Rate (i)            rate (g)           differential        Government
                                                                         (i-g)           Debt-to-GDP

               2011-12          8.52               15.74                 -7.2                67.4
               2012-13          8.36               13.82                 -5.5                66.7
               2013-14          8.45               12.97                 -4.5                67.1
               2014-15          8.51               10.99                 -2.5                66.6
               2015-16          7.89               10.46                 -2.6                68.5

               2016-17          7.16               11.76                 -4.6                68.9
               2017-18          6.97               11.09                 -4.1                69.8
               2018-19          7.78               10.95                 -3.2                70.5
               2019-20          6.85               7.21                  -0.4                73.8

             Source: RBI, MoSPI
             Note:Nominal interest rate is the weighted average interest rate on Central Government dated securities
   448   449   450   451   452   453   454   455   456   457   458