Page 35 - economic_survey_2021-2022
P. 35

State of the Economy    9


                        Figure 13: PMI Services                   Figure 14: Hotel Occupancy Rate

                 60                                            80

                                    1st Lockdown               60
                 50
                 40                                                     1st Lockdown          2nd Wave

                Index  30                                     Per cent  40

                 20                             2nd Wave

                 10                                            20
                  0                                             0
                     Jan/19  Jun/19  Nov/19  Apr/20  Sep/20  Feb/21  Jul/21  Dec/21  Jan/20  Apr/20  Jul/20  Oct/20  Jan/21  Apr/21  Jul/21  Oct/21


             Source: IHS Markit, Anarock

             1.10  In contrast to contact-based services, distance-enabled services have increased their share
             with the growing preference for remote interfaces for office work, education and even medical
             services. Indeed, there has been a boom in software and IT-enabled services exports even as
             earnings from tourism have declined sharply (see Figures 15 & 16).


                      Figure 15: Quarterly Trend in               Figure 16: Real GVA of Distance
                            Services Exports                             Enabled services

                             Total Services Exports                  Financial, real estate  &  professional  services
                             Travel
                 70          Telecom, Computer, & Information Services
                 60
                 50
                US$ Billion  40                               ₹  Lakh Crore  7.6  7.8         7.9  8.5
                 30

                 20                                             6.2  6.3            6.6  6.6
                 10
                  0
                     Mar/19  Jun/19  Sep/19  Dec/19  Mar/20  Jun/20  Sep/20  Dec/20  Mar/21  Jun/21  Sep/21  Q3  Q4  Q1  Q2  Q3  Q4  Q1  Q2
                                                                 2019-20
                                                                                2020-21
                                                                                               2021-22
             Source: RBI, NSO
             DEMAND TRENDS

             1.11  Latest advance estimates suggest full recovery of all components on the demand side
             in 2021-22 except for private consumption. When compared to pre-pandemic levels, recovery
             is most significant in exports followed by government consumption and gross fixed capital
             formation. However, an equally strong recovery was seen in imports (Table 3 and Table 4).
   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40