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Regulatory Forbearance: An Emergency Medicine, Not Staple Diet!  223


                                Figure 20: Accelerated Firm Defaults due to Forbearance


































             Source: MCA (for restructured loans), CMIE Prowess for credit ratings, and CIBIL’s website for suit-filed database
             of defaulters
             Pre: Average percentage change two years after and before for firms restructured during 2002-2006
             Post:  Average percentage change two years after and before for firms restructured during 2009-2015
                 Figure 21: Macroeconomic Impact - Decline in Industry Competition due to Forbearance






























                        Source: MCA (for restructured loans), CMIE Prowess for firm incorporations
                        High (Low) Restructuring: Industries that had above (below) median share of restructured firms

             BANK CLEAN-UP WITHOUT ADEQUATE CAPITALIZATION
             7.29  Finally, after continuing forbearance for seven years, the RBI decided to bite the bullet and
             withdrew regulatory forbearance starting from April 2015. The RBI also decided to conduct a
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