Page 37 - ES 2020-21_Volume-1-2 [28-01-21]
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20      Economic Survey 2020-21   Volume 1


                   Figure 13: Elderly Population (above 60 Years of Age) is Much Higher in India than
                                                   Other Countries





                                                                      Italy       France      UK

                                                         Brazil
                                                                                        Ukrain
                                                                               Turkey      e     Poland
                                                                      Pakistan
                                                                                                Argent
                                                                               Philipp  Spain     ina
                                                                                 ines
                                       US                Indonesia                           Roma  Nethe
                                                                      Mexico            Col  nia   rla…
                                                                               Canada   om   Moro
                                                                                        bia
                                                                                             cco
                                                                      Banglad           S
               India                   Russia            Germany        esh    Iran     Afr  Peru
                                                                                        ica
             Source: Data accessed from World Population Prospects 2019, United Nations
              Figure 14: Estimated Lives Saved in India Using Case Fatality Rates (CFR) of Other Countries

                                                              Figure 14b: Using CFR of Worst-Affected
                 Figure 14a: Using CFR of Countries with       Countries (as Measured by Total Number
                          Similar Demographics
                                                                             of Deaths)

               10                                       7       4                                    3
                9    6.1                                6
                8                                                    2.4
                7                                       5       3            2.0                     2
               Lakh  6                                  4       2 Lakh                1.8

                5
                                                        3
                4                                                                             1.2
                3             2.1       1.8      1.9    2                                            1
                2                                               1
                                                        1
                1
                0                                       0       0                                    0
                    Mexico   Indonesia  Spain  South Africa          Italy  United   Brazil  United
                                                                                             States
                                                                            Kingdom
                 Estimated deaths using actual cases in India with Country  Estimated deaths using actual cases in India with Country
                 specific CFR                                  specific CFR
                 Times actual Deaths in India (RHS)            Times actual Deaths in India (RHS)
             Source: Survey calculations
             1.32  The model used for estimating the number of deaths across countries also shows that India
             has been successful in controlling deaths and saving lives (Figure 15).
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